Not since 1948, with the non-election of Thomas Dewey, have the polls been so wrong. Just as in 1948, however, the problem does not rest in the field of statistics, but rather in the field of research methodology.
Everything I knew was going to happen did not happen. Everything I understood about America I did not understand. Like most other members of the commentariat, I had no idea what I was talking about. I repent in dust and ashes.